Click Fraud: Market Share of Digital Advertising Estimation Model

First Published Summer 2010. Updated Summer 2019


Click Fraud is best understood as a business model that profits from network contagion.

This model allows you to apply network effects to discover the potential impact of click fraud on the USD$225 Billion global digital advertising market

Note: The model assumes a global average of 3 "legitimate" ads being served per web page or app

Move the sliders to explore how an infectious contagion of machine traffic has the potential to distort the costs of doing business in the global digital advertising market.

50
0.1%

15%


Est. Global Click Fraud Market Value



The scale of the problem compared to traditional advertising funded "mass media" models





The scale of the problem compared to other types of cyber crime





Disclaimer

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Questions of accuracy

Tymbals is an experiment in machine learning and statistical modelling of small data pools. Tymbals is still under development. It is still learning. Tymbals is Beta - i.e. Pre-release.

The probabilities and outputs (e.g. calculators, charts, visualisations) will evolve and change as the system ingests more data.

Tymbals is a probability model. The results generated by Tymbals are market estimates based on the cummulative value of the data within the distributed data pools.

Privacy

All data inputs are automatically added to the learning pool from which Tymbals models are generated.

If you do not want your data added the data pool do not use Tymbals


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