The Fear


I've embarked on a bold new experiment


It's called Wealthy Tiger


In reality it is ExCapite 3.0


Instead of typing it's all about capturing the zietgeist on video


It explores familiar themes: How talent, money and ideas come together to change the way markets behave


You could say it's all about looking forward. Searching for what is new... but you would be wrong


It's all about trying to discover what has been lost


What has been forgotten




You see...


Innovation is a tightly coupled dance between talent, markets and money


Each of the players in this three way tango seeks a different outcome


Talent seeks change.


It likes to play what if with the future


Money, or more accurately capital, seeks rent.


It wants to eat while others do the work


Markets want more for less.


This is what drives adoption


Most of the time these three are in conflict


The challenge is to get all three dancing to the same tune



Now…


The paradox of money is the weaker the idea the more money it will take to make it work


It requires magic thinking to believe otherwise


and yes, this rule is compounded when money is cheap…


Which probably explains why we live in a world of Unicorns



The paradox of the markets is best summed up by that old quote from Henry Ford


If I’d asked my customers what they wanted it would have been a faster horse and cart


Customers don’t know what they want but they do know what they like when they see it


Or, more accurately, when they see somebody else has it



Finally we have those CRAZY ONES celebrated by Steve Jobs


The paradox of talent is it’s not WHAT know, but WHO you know


Bright ideas are nice but in reality


It all comes down to your ability to sell the FUTURE to investors, customers, suppliers and employees



In this podcast series I will be talking to an new generation of startup founders and investors


Each one attempting to change how the innovation game is played


I’m keen to find out how they are solving the challenge of aligning money, markets and talent to change the world



What am I looking for?


Scarcity in Abundance



You see the trick to the innovation game is this...


It is all about creating the illusion of scarcity in a world of abundance


We live in a world awash with money, talent and ideas


The game the Venture Capitalist plays is to create the illusion that great startups are rare and the ability to pick a winner is even rarer


and anybody familar with the 'big data' would agree


The ability to consistently deliver Alpha in the VC market is extremely rare


But that does not stop the game being played


and the spells of the unicorn whispers enchanting investors and founders alike


and it comes down to a question


In a world of overflowing with money, talent and ideas what is scarce?



The answer? Apart from VCs who can consistently pick winners...Very Simply?... Networks of Trust


VCs are in the business of selling networks of trust to their investors


Understand this and you'll understand why VC's don't invest in big new ideas or extraordinary talent


They invest in their Trusted Networks


and, it is - somewhat ironically - this syndication of risk, that is the fundamental reason why so few VC portfolios managed to deliver Alpha


They are too busy investing in yesterday to imagine what the future may look like today



But that isn't the lesson here. The takeaway


The lesson is simply this... The role of the VC is to manufacture the illusion of scarcity in abundance


Because once that spell is cast the industry performance metrics are redundant


This is the lesson Advertising and Marketing has forgotten


It isn't about generating sales. It is all about the casting of spells


Specifically the spell of creating scarcity in abundance


Do this and the sales follow


If you have any doubts take a look at the NFT craze


The spell that has been cast is the opportunity to buy digital scarcity in a world of digital abundance


They have cast a spell of fear - FOMO



and this insight teaches us just how much we have forgotten about the art of communication


and yes, these thoughts lead us back to the marketplace models and the agency of the future




At least until next time :)

Originally Published Spring 2022. What are we talking about today? Follow us on Twitter
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